Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.103980 0.120072 0.137832 0.158888 0.183176 0.210321 0.242976
2026-02-01 0.075217 0.095873 0.120992 0.153799 0.195549 0.246957 0.315161
2026-02-08 0.062338 0.085136 0.114807 0.156273 0.212802 0.287296 0.393157
2026-02-15 0.053026 0.076605 0.109033 0.156926 0.225982 0.322162 0.466728
2026-02-22 0.046534 0.070575 0.105253 0.158977 0.240295 0.359112 0.546601
2026-03-01 0.040109 0.063527 0.098777 0.155769 0.245857 0.383249 0.609683
2026-03-08 0.035111 0.057855 0.093448 0.153280 0.251681 0.407734 0.675353
2026-03-15 0.031817 0.054386 0.090999 0.154811 0.263684 0.442720 0.761293
2026-03-22 0.030078 0.053210 0.092027 0.162010 0.285599 0.495867 0.883201
2026-03-29 0.028108 0.051361 0.091639 0.166614 0.303387 0.543668 1.000983
2026-04-05 0.026235 0.049433 0.090843 0.170295 0.319769 0.590474 1.121922
2026-04-12 0.024294 0.047132 0.089086 0.171938 0.332450 0.631696 1.236803
2026-04-19 0.022028 0.043994 0.085516 0.169903 0.338234 0.661243 1.333920
2026-04-26 0.019611 0.040287 0.080466 0.164434 0.336748 0.676796 1.405513
2026-05-03 0.018381 0.038803 0.079565 0.167079 0.351665 0.725935 1.550512
2026-05-10 0.017077 0.037010 0.077831 0.167777 0.362571 0.767985 1.685329
2026-05-17 0.016049 0.035674 0.076877 0.169971 0.376796 0.818249 1.843254
2026-05-24 0.014627 0.033316 0.073507 0.166540 0.378383 0.841688 1.944566
2026-05-31 0.013416 0.031291 0.070637 0.163878 0.381339 0.868308 2.055924
2026-06-07 0.012651 0.030198 0.069710 0.165516 0.394238 0.918390 2.227275
2026-06-14 0.012379 0.030226 0.071316 0.173215 0.422114 1.005555 2.496665
2026-06-21 0.011925 0.029767 0.071742 0.178138 0.443873 1.080641 2.745181
2026-06-28 0.011436 0.029165 0.071766 0.182075 0.463632 1.152961 2.995030